Advanced Regionalization, Human Capital, and Labor Market Dynamics: The Case of Béni Mellal–Khénifra

Abstract

This article analyzes how advanced regionalization influences labor market dynamics in the Beni Mellal-Khenifra region through the lever of human capital. Using annual data covering the period 1999–2024, combining HCP statistics and administrative information on training (centers, supervisors, beneficiaries), an ARDL model and its error correction mechanism highlight a stable long-term relationship between the variables studied. The results show that an increase in the number of supervisors and beneficiaries is associated with an improvement in the activity rate, while unemployment has a negative effect. On the other hand, the number of centers and, to a lesser extent, regional GDP appear to be negatively related to participation, which may reflect allocation effects or spatial and sectoral mismatches between the skills offered and local needs. In the short term, economic growth appears to be positively correlated with participation, reflecting a favorable response of employment to the high phases of the cycle. Overall, the findings confirm the validity of the model while calling for caution in the face of certain signs of stability. From an operational perspective, the results argue for a qualitative improvement in training programs—supervision, adequacy of courses—and more effective coordination between regional governance, the productive fabric, and human capital development policies. The limitations of the study, particularly the sample size and the annual dimension of the data, open the way for future regional panel studies and more accurate measurements of actual skills.

Keywords: Advanced regionalization, Human capital, Labor market dynamics, Regional development, Employment and participation, Economic convergence, Spatial and sectoral mismatches, Regional governance, Training and education policies

ClassificationJEL : C22 ; O15 ; R58

Paper type: Empirical Research